Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 3.617853 4.010117 4.436280 4.935180 5.505123 6.138136 6.897470
2025-08-03 3.078526 3.606734 4.221555 4.995819 5.952940 7.107921 8.623313
2025-08-10 2.723710 3.320690 4.051296 5.022805 6.298356 7.941133 10.258688
2025-08-17 2.395684 3.009206 3.789059 4.870386 6.358862 8.378501 11.402600
2025-08-24 2.171642 2.797449 3.619005 4.800117 6.494847 8.904026 12.712911
2025-08-31 2.004850 2.640385 3.498836 4.773581 6.672845 9.491281 14.180765
2025-09-07 1.917815 2.580775 3.501625 4.913608 7.098441 10.485874 16.429612
2025-09-14 1.795640 2.459597 3.403384 4.889901 7.264941 11.088535 18.116788
2025-09-21 1.682485 2.341339 3.297465 4.840427 7.378931 11.610686 19.737165
2025-09-28 1.539679 2.168862 3.096657 4.622496 7.191324 11.593994 20.352455
2025-10-05 1.475277 2.108637 3.060716 4.662757 7.436821 12.356740 22.586560
2025-10-12 1.427746 2.070208 3.054517 4.749072 7.767715 13.311586 25.379433
2025-10-19 1.384359 2.036784 3.055943 4.852235 8.147797 14.426702 28.781943
2025-10-26 1.335873 1.992034 3.035599 4.915704 8.462151 15.460094 32.239945
2025-11-02 1.284496 1.939044 2.997302 4.942871 8.708961 16.389937 35.668146
2025-11-09 1.205435 1.836040 2.867937 4.793546 8.593278 16.537284 37.180621
2025-11-16 1.147047 1.763821 2.786136 4.724661 8.630127 17.018899 39.671421
2025-11-23 1.100390 1.708546 2.729880 4.698641 8.751096 17.704706 42.885809
2025-11-30 1.083143 1.701928 2.758074 4.835953 9.229654 19.290617 49.107860
2025-12-07 1.042362 1.652503 2.706611 4.812708 9.358193 20.057029 53.091057
2025-12-14 1.000668 1.599306 2.645054 4.764194 9.425096 20.680378 56.804588
2025-12-21 0.938316 1.506937 2.506864 4.550465 9.096923 20.248661 56.904879
2025-12-28 0.914739 1.482233 2.492471 4.589954 9.356790 21.397070 62.810591